While plenty of experts predict a downturn in the property market in the coming year, predictions regarding how badly prices will be affected vary from “ A Slight Market Adjustment”, to “Disaster for Scotland” depending on their take.
What should dampen the blow to the prices from the last major “Crash” in 2008 onward is the liquidity of the banks. They could not lend to would-be buyers from 2008-2012, so the lack of available mortgages helped drive down the demand for house purchases.
The banks are in a much better position now, although the interest rates have risen recently. I asked our preferred mortgage adviser, Angela, of Fisk Mortgage Services to give us some insight into the current mortgage market.
Angela writes,-
Unsettled mortgage market – confusing!
Due to the quick succession of Bank of England rate increases, it’s no wonder that most people are concerned about either their current mortgage payments or new mortgage payments if they are planning to move home. Even those who didn’t pay too much attention to mortgage interest rates are really starting to sit up & take notice, which in my opinion is no bad thing.
The good news, if there is any, is that mortgage interest rates have come down slowly over the last couple of months in particular 5 years fixed rate deals allowing cautious borrowers to lock in the rate for long periods as well as giving the lenders more stability in their lending books. However, it is an ever-changing market which means that lenders are constantly repricing their mortgage deals offered to reflect these changing conditions.
There are many factors which are reflected in the mortgage rates so getting into the details of what’s likely to happen is a tricky road to try to travel on, although it doesn’t stop many of our so-called “experts” trying to do exactly that.
All that we can ever do when thinking of arranging a new mortgage whether we’re buying a new home or our first home, restructuring our current mortgage where borrowing additional funds or not, is that you consider our circumstances at the time & make our decision based on this. Here are some things to consider:
- Do you need the peace of mind of knowing how much you will pay for a certain time by fixing the rate?
- How long would you like your payment fixed for i.e. are you planning any future changes which could affect this decision such as moving home or paying off the mortgage?
- What if rates were to increase in the future – you need to consider the “what if’s” & prepare for increased payments so that you don’t leave yourself overstretched financially in the future.
- What happens if things go wrong – how can you protect your payments ensuring you don’t lose your home?
As long as we understand that things can & do change in this unpredictable “world of mortgages” and by arming ourselves with as much information that is available to us at the time of making the decision then I don’t believe we should allow this uncertainty to stop us from making the decision to move home or borrow more money to fund building that extension etc otherwise how do we progress…..?
I would just like to thank her for her thoughts.
In a recent conversation with Angela, my main takeaway was- not to place all your faith in the interest rate alone but to take the whole mortgage package including all the fees into account as well as the projected affordability.
I am reminded as well that the interest rate when I bought my first home in the 1990s was 9 per cent.
If you would like to know more about mortgages, then contact us and we will pass your questions on to Angela.
You might also be interested in
Anti inflation measure versus mortgage rates.
The Bank of England has announced an increase of 0.25% to its Base Rate this month. This is its 11th consecutive rise, pushing interest rates to 4.25%, the highest they’ve been for 14 years. The move is designed to curtail inflation which has impacted everyone. By coincidence, Nationwide announced a reduction in the interest rates on several of their mortgage products on the same day. Then, on 15 March, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt presented his Spring Budget and said that he expected inflation to fall back to 2.9% by the end of the year. The markets received this as a positive sign and indicated that interest rates had either peaked already or were about to peak. Prestwick Market Update The uncertainty regarding mortgage rates has had little effect on the Prestwick housing market which has been very busy in March. Despite predictions of a housing collapse being on the horizon, nearly all recently listed properties have been sold in a rapid manner with many of them achieving more than the Home Report valuation. As we expected, increased costs across the board have helped to limit the offers over the HR valuations in a lot of cases compared to the giddy heights of last spring. However, the impact has not been as expected and many properties, depending on their competitiveness and location are still seeing substantial premiums over HR. First Time Buyers are beginning to see some encouragement in eyeing entry-level properties where they can get involved and where the premium is not as marked as the prestigious bungalow market. That includes Flats where the market is also strong, especially two bedrooms on the ground floor. In short, the market is lively at present, and while some of the press are determined to make you feel that the crash is just around the corner, the levels of activity at present are healthy and government predictions for the economy at large bode well for a stable housing market. If you would like to read what Rightmove think about the impact on mortgage rates, click here
Anti inflation measure will effect mortgage rates.
The Bank of England today raised interest rates to 4% - a 14-year high and the 10th consecutive raise - making rates their highest since 2008 as double-digit inflation continues to bite. The Bank of England today raised the base rate from 3.5% to 4% – a 14-year high and the 10th consecutive raise – making rates their highest since 2008 as double-digit inflation continues to bite. While most borrowers are already fixed into mortgage deals some 2.2 million are thought to be exposed to rate rises and more than a million are forecast to renew fixed-rate deals later this year. Meanwhile Nationwide reported yesterday that house prices in the UK fell again in January, sliding for the fifth month in a row. INFLATION The Bank of England says that while global consumer price inflation remains high it is likely to have peaked in the UK as well as in other advanced economies. “Many central banks have continued to tighten monetary policy, although market pricing indicates reductions in policy rates further ahead. “Given the lags in monetary policy transmission, the increases in Bank Rate since December 2021 are expected to have an increasing impact on the economy in the coming quarters. “The Committee has voted to increase Bank Rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 4%, at this meeting. Headline CPI inflation has begun to edge back and is likely to fall sharply over the rest of the year as a result of past movements in energy and other goods prices. “However, the labour market remains tight, and domestic price and wage pressures have been stronger than expected, suggesting risks of greater persistence in underlying inflation.” “Looking further ahead, the MPC will adjust Bank Rate as necessary to return inflation to the 2% target sustainably in the medium term, in line with its remit.” [Estate Agency Today]